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KAZ Kazachstan - Premier League · Wedstrijd ·

FC Astana vs Okzhetpes Kokshetau

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score3–13.98 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst57%
Gelijkspel23%
Uitwinst20%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 57% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst57% selection probability
Projected score3–1FC AstanaOkzhetpes Kokshetau
Expected goals3.98Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven76% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa64% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
57% / 23% / 20%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Okzhetpes Kokshetau win (19.9%)Dubbele Kans1X80.1%1.25
Boven 76% · Onder 24%Goals 2.5Boven76%1.32
Ja 64% · Nee 36%Beide teams scorenJa64%1.56
3.98 total expected goalsExacte score3–1
9.2 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapFC Astana winDifference+1.6 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Astana win57%1.751.6255.4%+1.6 pp
Gelijkspel23%4.353.7523.9%-0.9 pp
Okzhetpes Kokshetau win20%5.004.3320.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Astana2.86

Thuis share of expected goals 71.9%

Total expected goals3.98Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 76% · Onder 24%

Okzhetpes Kokshetau1.12

Uit share of expected goals 28.1%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 64% · Nee 36%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

FC Astana

2.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punten13

SignalThuis unbeaten 5/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Okzhetpes Kokshetau

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punten6

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
20%
13
Points from supplied form
6
2.86
Expected goals
1.12
FC AstanaOkzhetpes Kokshetau
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Astana signalThuis unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Okzhetpes Kokshetau signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

FC Astana vs Okzhetpes Kokshetau FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 3–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Astana gewonnen 57%,Gelijkspel 23%,Okzhetpes Kokshetau gewonnen 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.98 · Boven 2.5 76% · Current selection Boven