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KAZ Kazachstan - Premier League · Wedstrijd ·

FC Elimai Semey vs Irtysh Pavlodar

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–12.90 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst53%
Gelijkspel25%
Uitwinst22%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst53% selection probability
Projected score2–1FC Elimai SemeyIrtysh Pavlodar
Expected goals2.90Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven56% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
53% / 25% / 22%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Irtysh Pavlodar win (21.7%)Dubbele Kans1X78.3%1.28
Boven 56% · Onder 44%Goals 2.5Boven56%1.79
Ja 50% · Nee 50%Beide teams scorenJa50%2.00
2.90 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
9.6 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapFC Elimai Semey winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Elimai Semey win53%1.891.7351.9%+1.1 pp
Gelijkspel25%4.003.5025.7%-0.7 pp
Irtysh Pavlodar win22%4.554.0022.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Elimai Semey2.06

Thuis share of expected goals 71%

Total expected goals2.90Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 56% · Onder 44%

Irtysh Pavlodar0.84

Uit share of expected goals 29%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 50% · Nee 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

FC Elimai Semey

1.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punten8

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Irtysh Pavlodar

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
22%
8
Points from supplied form
7
2.06
Expected goals
0.84
FC Elimai SemeyIrtysh Pavlodar
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Elimai Semey signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Irtysh Pavlodar signalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

FC Elimai Semey vs Irtysh Pavlodar FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Elimai Semey gewonnen 53%,Gelijkspel 25%,Irtysh Pavlodar gewonnen 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.90 · Boven 2.5 56% · Current selection Boven