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KAZ Kazachstan - Premier League · Zápas ·

FC Elimai Semey vs Irtysh Pavlodar

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score2–12.90 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich53%
Remíza25%
Výhra hostí22%
Full model forecastVýhra domácichTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich53% selection probability
Projected score2–1FC Elimai SemeyIrtysh Pavlodar
Expected goals2.90Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Viac56% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúÁno50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Menej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
53% / 25% / 22%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Irtysh Pavlodar win (21.7%)Dvojitá šanca1X78.3%1.28
Viac 56% · Menej 44%Goals 2.5Viac56%1.79
Áno 50% · Nie 50%Oba tímy skórujúÁno50%2.00
2.90 total expected goalsPresné skóre2–1
9.6 expected match cornersRohyMenej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapFC Elimai Semey winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Elimai Semey win53%1.891.7351.9%+1.1 pp
Remíza25%4.003.5025.7%-0.7 pp
Irtysh Pavlodar win22%4.554.0022.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Elimai Semey2.06

Domáci share of expected goals 71%

Total expected goals2.90Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Viac 56% · Menej 44%

Irtysh Pavlodar0.84

Hostia share of expected goals 29%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitÁno 50% · Nie 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

FC Elimai Semey

1.60pts / match
Odohrané5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Body8

SignalDomáci unbeaten 4/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Irtysh Pavlodar

1.40pts / match
Odohrané5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Body7

SignalDomáci matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Výhra probability excluding draw
22%
8
Points from supplied form
7
2.06
Expected goals
0.84
FC Elimai SemeyIrtysh Pavlodar
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Elimai Semey signalDomáci unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Irtysh Pavlodar signalDomáci matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

FC Elimai Semey vs Irtysh Pavlodar FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Elimai Semey výhra 53%,Remíza 25%,Irtysh Pavlodar výhra 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.90 · Viac 2.5 56% · Current selection Viac