Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
53% / 25% / 22%Match resultHome win53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Irtysh Pavlodar win (21.7%)Double chance1X78.3%1.28
Over 56% · Under 44%Goals 2.5Over56%1.79
Yes 50% · No 50%Both teams scoreYes50%2.00
2.90 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
9.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapFC Elimai Semey winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Elimai Semey win53%1.891.7351.9%+1.1 pp
Draw25%4.003.5025.7%-0.7 pp
Irtysh Pavlodar win22%4.554.0022.4%-0.4 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 71%
Total expected goals2.90Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 56% · Under 44%
Away share of expected goals 29%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 50% · No 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.60pts / matchFC Elimai Semey
DDLWW
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchIrtysh Pavlodar
WWLDL
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
53%
Win probability excluding draw
22%8
Points from supplied form
72.06
Expected goals
0.84FC Elimai SemeyIrtysh Pavlodar
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.
Match questions
FC Elimai Semey vs Irtysh Pavlodar FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
FC Elimai Semey win 53%，Draw 25%，Irtysh Pavlodar win 22%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.90 · Over 2.5 56% · Current selection Over。