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KAZ Kazakhstan Premier League · Round 25 ·

FK Kaspyi Aktau vs FK Ulytau

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.10 expected goals
Away form
Home win43%
Draw28%
Away win28%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win43% selection probability
Projected score1–1FK Kaspyi AktauFK Ulytau
Expected goals2.10Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under65% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
43% / 28% / 28%Match resultHome win43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.3%)Double chance1271.7%1.39
Over 35% · Under 65%Goals 2.5Under65%1.54
Yes 40% · No 60%Both teams scoreNo60%1.67
2.10 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapFK Ulytau winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Kaspyi Aktau win43%2.332.1042.9%+0.1 pp
Draw28%3.573.2028.1%-0.1 pp
FK Ulytau win28%3.573.1029%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Kaspyi Aktau1.31

Home share of expected goals 62.4%

Total expected goals2.10Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 35% · Under 65%

FK Ulytau0.79

Away share of expected goals 37.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 40% · No 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

FK Kaspyi Aktau

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

FK Ulytau

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Win probability excluding draw
28%
10
Points from supplied form
4
1.31
Expected goals
0.79
FK Kaspyi AktauFK Ulytau
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Kaspyi Aktau signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Ulytau signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

FK Kaspyi Aktau vs FK Ulytau FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Kaspyi Aktau win 43%,Draw 28%,FK Ulytau win 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.10 · Over 2.5 35% · Current selection Under