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KAZ Kazakhstan Premier League · Round 25 ·

Κάσπι Ακτάου vs FK Ulytau

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–12.10 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου43%
Ισοπαλία31%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου26%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου43% selection probability
Projected score1–1Κάσπι ΑκτάουFK Ulytau
Expected goals2.10Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω65% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
43% / 31% / 26%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Ulytau win (25.5%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X74.5%1.34
Άνω 35% · Κάτω 65%Goals 2.5Κάτω65%1.54
Ναι 40% · Όχι 60%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι60%1.67
2.10 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
9.6 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Κάσπι Ακτάου win43%2.33
Ισοπαλία31%3.23
FK Ulytau win26%3.85

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Κάσπι Ακτάου1.31

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 62.4%

Total expected goals2.10Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 35% · Κάτω 65%

FK Ulytau0.79

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 37.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 40% · Όχι 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Κάσπι Ακτάου

2.00pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Πόντοι10

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

FK Ulytau

0.80pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Πόντοι4

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
26%
10
Points from supplied form
4
1.31
Expected goals
0.79
Κάσπι ΑκτάουFK Ulytau
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Κάσπι Ακτάου signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Ulytau signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Κάσπι Ακτάου vs FK Ulytau FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Κάσπι Ακτάου νίκη 43%,Ισοπαλία 31%,FK Ulytau νίκη 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.10 · Άνω 2.5 35% · Current selection Κάτω