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KAZ Kazakhstan Premier League · Round 25 ·

FK Kaspyi Aktau vs FK Ulytau

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–12.10 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile43%
Nul28%
Victoire à l’extérieur28%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile43% selection probability
Projected score1–1FK Kaspyi AktauFK Ulytau
Expected goals2.10Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de65% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
43% / 28% / 28%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.3%)Double chance1271.7%1.39
Plus de 35% · Moins de 65%Goals 2.5Moins de65%1.54
Oui 40% · Non 60%Les deux équipes marquentNon60%1.67
2.10 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
9.6 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapFK Ulytau winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Kaspyi Aktau win43%2.332.1042.9%+0.1 pp
Nul28%3.573.2028.1%-0.1 pp
FK Ulytau win28%3.573.1029%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Kaspyi Aktau1.31

Domicile share of expected goals 62.4%

Total expected goals2.10Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 35% · Moins de 65%

FK Ulytau0.79

Extérieur share of expected goals 37.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 40% · Non 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

FK Kaspyi Aktau

2.00pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

FK Ulytau

0.80pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Gagné probability excluding draw
28%
10
Points from supplied form
4
1.31
Expected goals
0.79
FK Kaspyi AktauFK Ulytau
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Kaspyi Aktau signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Ulytau signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

FK Kaspyi Aktau vs FK Ulytau FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Kaspyi Aktau victoire 43%,Nul 28%,FK Ulytau victoire 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.10 · Plus de 2.5 35% · Current selection Moins de