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KAZ Kazakhstan Premier League · Round 25 ·

FK Kaspyi Aktau vs FK Ulytau

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.10 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger49%
Oavgjort27%
Bortaseger24%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger49% selection probability
Projected score1–1FK Kaspyi AktauFK Ulytau
Expected goals2.10Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under65% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
49% / 27% / 24%MatchresultatHemmaseger49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Ulytau win (24.1%)Dubbelchans1X75.9%1.32
Över 35% · Under 65%Goals 2.5Under65%1.54
Ja 40% · Nej 60%Båda lagen gör målNej60%1.67
2.10 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.6 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapFK Kaspyi Aktau winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Kaspyi Aktau win49%2.041.8548.5%+0.5 pp
Oavgjort27%3.703.3027.2%-0.2 pp
FK Ulytau win24%4.173.7024.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Kaspyi Aktau1.31

Hemma share of expected goals 62.4%

Total expected goals2.10Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 35% · Under 65%

FK Ulytau0.79

Borta share of expected goals 37.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 40% · Nej 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

FK Kaspyi Aktau

2.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poäng10

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

FK Ulytau

0.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poäng4

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
24%
10
Points from supplied form
4
1.31
Expected goals
0.79
FK Kaspyi AktauFK Ulytau
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Kaspyi Aktau signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Ulytau signalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

FK Kaspyi Aktau vs FK Ulytau FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Kaspyi Aktau vunnen 49%,Oavgjort 27%,FK Ulytau vunnen 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.10 · Över 2.5 35% · Current selection Under