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KAZ Казахстан - Премьер-лига · Round 25 ·

ФК Каский Актау vs Улытау

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–12.10 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев43%
Ничья31%
Победа гостей26%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев43% selection probability
Projected score1–1ФК Каский АктауУлытау
Expected goals2.10Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше65% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
43% / 31% / 26%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Улытау win (25.5%)Двойной шанс1X74.5%1.34
Больше 35% · Меньше 65%Goals 2.5Меньше65%1.54
Да 40% · Нет 60%Обе забьютНет60%1.67
2.10 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
9.6 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
ФК Каский Актау win43%2.33
Ничья31%3.23
Улытау win26%3.85

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ФК Каский Актау1.31

Хозяева share of expected goals 62.4%

Total expected goals2.10Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 35% · Меньше 65%

Улытау0.79

Гости share of expected goals 37.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 40% · Нет 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

ФК Каский Актау

2.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Баллы10

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Улытау

0.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Баллы4

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
26%
10
Points from supplied form
4
1.31
Expected goals
0.79
ФК Каский АктауУлытау
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ФК Каский Актау signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Улытау signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

ФК Каский Актау vs Улытау FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ФК Каский Актау выигрыш 43%,Ничья 31%,Улытау выигрыш 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.10 · ТБ 2.5 35% · Current selection Меньше