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KAZ Kazakhstan Premier League · Match ·

FC Elimai Semey vs Irtysh Pavlodar

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–12.90 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger53%
Oavgjort25%
Bortaseger22%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger53% selection probability
Projected score2–1FC Elimai SemeyIrtysh Pavlodar
Expected goals2.90Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Över56% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
53% / 25% / 22%MatchresultatHemmaseger53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Irtysh Pavlodar win (21.7%)Dubbelchans1X78.3%1.28
Över 56% · Under 44%Goals 2.5Över56%1.79
Ja 50% · Nej 50%Båda lagen gör målJa50%2.00
2.90 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.6 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapFC Elimai Semey winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Elimai Semey win53%1.891.7351.9%+1.1 pp
Oavgjort25%4.003.5025.7%-0.7 pp
Irtysh Pavlodar win22%4.554.0022.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Elimai Semey2.06

Hemma share of expected goals 71%

Total expected goals2.90Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 56% · Under 44%

Irtysh Pavlodar0.84

Borta share of expected goals 29%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 50% · Nej 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

FC Elimai Semey

1.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poäng8

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Irtysh Pavlodar

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poäng7

SignalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
22%
8
Points from supplied form
7
2.06
Expected goals
0.84
FC Elimai SemeyIrtysh Pavlodar
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Elimai Semey signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Irtysh Pavlodar signalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

FC Elimai Semey vs Irtysh Pavlodar FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Elimai Semey vunnen 53%,Oavgjort 25%,Irtysh Pavlodar vunnen 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.90 · Över 2.5 56% · Current selection Över