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KAZ Kazakhstan Premier League · Round 25 ·

FC Elimai Semey vs Irtysh Pavlodar

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–12.90 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local53%
Empate25%
Victoria visitante22%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local53% selection probability
Projected score2–1FC Elimai SemeyIrtysh Pavlodar
Expected goals2.90Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Más de56% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
53% / 25% / 22%Resultado del partidoVictoria local53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Irtysh Pavlodar win (21.7%)Doble Oportunidad1X78.3%1.28
Más de 56% · Menos de 44%Goals 2.5Más de56%1.79
Sí 50% · No 50%Ambos equipos marcan50%2.00
2.90 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
9.6 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapFC Elimai Semey winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Elimai Semey win53%1.891.7351.9%+1.1 pp
Empate25%4.003.5025.7%-0.7 pp
Irtysh Pavlodar win22%4.554.0022.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Elimai Semey2.06

Local share of expected goals 71%

Total expected goals2.90Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 56% · Menos de 44%

Irtysh Pavlodar0.84

Visitante share of expected goals 29%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 50% · No 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

FC Elimai Semey

1.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puntos8

SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Irtysh Pavlodar

1.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puntos7

SignalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Ganado probability excluding draw
22%
8
Points from supplied form
7
2.06
Expected goals
0.84
FC Elimai SemeyIrtysh Pavlodar
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Elimai Semey signalLocal unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Irtysh Pavlodar signalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

FC Elimai Semey vs Irtysh Pavlodar FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Elimai Semey ganada 53%,Empate 25%,Irtysh Pavlodar ganada 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.90 · Más de 2.5 56% · Current selection Más de