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KAZ Казахстан - Премьер-лига · Матч ·

ФК Астана vs Окжептес Кокшетау

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score3–13.98 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев57%
Ничья23%
Победа гостей20%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 57% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев57% selection probability
Projected score3–1ФК АстанаОкжептес Кокшетау
Expected goals3.98Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше76% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа64% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
57% / 23% / 20%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Окжептес Кокшетау win (19.9%)Двойной шанс1X80.1%1.25
Больше 76% · Меньше 24%Goals 2.5Больше76%1.32
Да 64% · Нет 36%Обе забьютДа64%1.56
3.98 total expected goalsТочный счёт3–1
9.2 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapФК Астана winDifference+1.6 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ФК Астана win57%1.751.6255.4%+1.6 pp
Ничья23%4.353.7523.9%-0.9 pp
Окжептес Кокшетау win20%5.004.3320.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ФК Астана2.86

Хозяева share of expected goals 71.9%

Total expected goals3.98Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 76% · Меньше 24%

Окжептес Кокшетау1.12

Гости share of expected goals 28.1%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitДа 64% · Нет 36%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

ФК Астана

2.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Баллы13

SignalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Окжептес Кокшетау

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Баллы6

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
20%
13
Points from supplied form
6
2.86
Expected goals
1.12
ФК АстанаОкжептес Кокшетау
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ФК Астана signalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Окжептес Кокшетау signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

ФК Астана vs Окжептес Кокшетау FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 3–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ФК Астана выигрыш 57%,Ничья 23%,Окжептес Кокшетау выигрыш 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.98 · ТБ 2.5 76% · Current selection Больше