Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
36% / 32% / 33%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (31.9%)Șansă dublă1268.1%1.47
Peste 14% · Sub 86%Goals 2.5Sub86%1.16
Da 22% · Nu 78%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu78%1.28
1.28 total expected goalsScor corect1–1——
10.3 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Itabaiana win36%2.782.5035.8%+0.2 pp
Egal32%3.132.8831.1%+0.9 pp
Caxias win33%3.032.7033.1%-0.1 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Gazde share of expected goals 54.7%
Total expected goals1.28Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Peste 14% · Sub 86%
Oaspeți share of expected goals 45.3%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 22% · Nu 78%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Gazde-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchItabaiana
DWWWL
Jucate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puncte10
SignalGazde unbeaten 4/5
Oaspeți-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchCaxias
LDWDD
Jucate5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Puncte6
SignalGazde matches under 2.5: 5/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
36%
Câștig probability excluding draw
33%10
Points from supplied form
60.70
Expected goals
0.58ItabaianaCaxias
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 32%.
Match questions
Itabaiana vs Caxias FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Itabaiana câștig 36%，Egal 32%，Caxias câștig 33%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 1.28 · Peste 2.5 14% · Current selection Sub。