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BRA Brazil Serie C · Meci ·

Ypiranga RS vs Floresta

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–11.89 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde33%
Egal33%
Victorie oaspeți34%
Full model forecastVictorie oaspețiTier A · 34% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie oaspeți34% selection probability
Projected score1–1Ypiranga RSFloresta
Expected goals1.89Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sub71% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu62% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
33% / 33% / 34%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie oaspeți34%2.94
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (33%)Șansă dublă1267%1.49
Peste 29% · Sub 71%Goals 2.5Sub71%1.41
Da 38% · Nu 62%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu62%1.61
1.89 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
10.8 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nu snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCotă corectă
Ypiranga RS win33%3.03
Egal33%3.03
Floresta win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ypiranga RS0.94

Gazde share of expected goals 49.7%

Total expected goals1.89Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Peste 29% · Sub 71%

Floresta0.95

Oaspeți share of expected goals 50.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 38% · Nu 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Ypiranga RS

2.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puncte10

SignalGazde unbeaten 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Floresta

1.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Puncte6

SignalGazde matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Câștig probability excluding draw
34%
10
Points from supplied form
6
0.94
Expected goals
0.95
Ypiranga RSFloresta
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ypiranga RS signalGazde unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Floresta signalGazde matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk66% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Ypiranga RS vs Floresta FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie oaspeți · Projected score 1–1 · 34% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ypiranga RS câștig 33%,Egal 33%,Floresta câștig 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.89 · Peste 2.5 29% · Current selection Sub