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BRA Brazil Serie C · Partita ·

Ypiranga RS vs Floresta

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–11.93 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa33%
Pareggio33%
Vittoria ospite34%
Full model forecastVittoria ospiteTier A · 34% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria ospite34% selection probability
Projected score1–1Ypiranga RSFloresta
Expected goals1.93Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto70% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo61% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
33% / 33% / 34%Esito partitaVittoria ospite34%2.94
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (32.8%)Doppia Chance1267.2%1.49
Sopra 30% · Sotto 70%Goals 2.5Sotto70%1.43
Sì 39% · No 61%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo61%1.64
1.93 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
10.8 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Ypiranga RS win33%3.03
Pareggio33%3.03
Floresta win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ypiranga RS0.96

Casa share of expected goals 49.7%

Total expected goals1.93Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 30% · Sotto 70%

Floresta0.97

Trasferta share of expected goals 50.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 39% · No 61%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Ypiranga RS

2.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punti10

SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Floresta

1.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punti6

SignalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Vinta probability excluding draw
34%
10
Points from supplied form
6
0.96
Expected goals
0.97
Ypiranga RSFloresta
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ypiranga RS signalCasa unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Floresta signalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk66% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Ypiranga RS vs Floresta FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 1–1 · 34% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ypiranga RS vinta 33%,Pareggio 33%,Floresta vinta 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.93 · Sopra 2.5 30% · Current selection Sotto