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BRA Brazil Serie C · Fixture ·

Ypiranga RS vs Floresta

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–11.93 expected goals
Away form
Home win33%
Draw33%
Away win34%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 34% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win34% selection probability
Projected score1–1Ypiranga RSFloresta
Expected goals1.93Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under70% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo61% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
33% / 33% / 34%Match resultAway win34%2.94
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (32.8%)Double chance1267.2%1.49
Over 30% · Under 70%Goals 2.5Under70%1.43
Yes 39% · No 61%Both teams scoreNo61%1.64
1.93 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
10.8 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Ypiranga RS win33%3.03
Draw33%3.03
Floresta win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ypiranga RS0.96

Home share of expected goals 49.7%

Total expected goals1.93Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 30% · Under 70%

Floresta0.97

Away share of expected goals 50.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 39% · No 61%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Ypiranga RS

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Floresta

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Win probability excluding draw
34%
10
Points from supplied form
6
0.96
Expected goals
0.97
Ypiranga RSFloresta
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ypiranga RS signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Floresta signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk66% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Ypiranga RS vs Floresta FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 34% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ypiranga RS win 33%,Draw 33%,Floresta win 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.93 · Over 2.5 30% · Current selection Under