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BRA Brazil Serie C · Fixture ·

Maringa vs Amazonas

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score3–14.43 expected goals
Away form
Home win61%
Draw20%
Away win19%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 61% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win61% selection probability
Projected score3–1MaringaAmazonas
Expected goals4.43Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over82% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes71% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
61% / 20% / 19%Match resultHome win61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Amazonas win (19%)Double chance1X81%1.23
Over 82% · Under 18%Goals 2.5Over82%1.22
Yes 71% · No 29%Both teams scoreYes71%1.41
4.43 total expected goalsCorrect score3–1
10.2 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Maringa win61%1.64
Draw20%5.00
Amazonas win19%5.26

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Maringa3.09

Home share of expected goals 69.8%

Total expected goals4.43Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 82% · Under 18%

Amazonas1.34

Away share of expected goals 30.2%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitYes 71% · No 29%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Maringa

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Points9

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Amazonas

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
61%
Win probability excluding draw
19%
9
Points from supplied form
4
3.09
Expected goals
1.34
MaringaAmazonas
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Maringa signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Amazonas signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Maringa vs Amazonas FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 3–1 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Maringa win 61%,Draw 20%,Amazonas win 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.43 · Over 2.5 82% · Current selection Over