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BRA Brazil Serie C · Spiel ·

Maringá vs Amazonas

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score3–14.43 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg61%
Unentschieden20%
Auswärtssieg19%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 61% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg61% selection probability
Projected score3–1MaringáAmazonas
Expected goals4.43Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über82% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa71% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
61% / 20% / 19%SpielergebnisHeimsieg61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Amazonas win (19%)Doppelte Chance1X81%1.23
Über 82% · Unter 18%Goals 2.5Über82%1.22
Ja 71% · Nein 29%Beide Teams treffenJa71%1.41
4.43 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis3–1
10.2 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Maringá win61%1.64
Unentschieden20%5.00
Amazonas win19%5.26

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Maringá3.09

Heim share of expected goals 69.8%

Total expected goals4.43Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 82% · Unter 18%

Amazonas1.34

Auswärts share of expected goals 30.2%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 71% · Nein 29%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Maringá

1.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Punkte9

SignalHeim unbeaten 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Amazonas

0.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkte4

SignalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
61%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
19%
9
Points from supplied form
4
3.09
Expected goals
1.34
MaringáAmazonas
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Maringá signalHeim unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Amazonas signalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Maringá vs Amazonas FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 3–1 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Maringá Gewinn 61%,Unentschieden 20%,Amazonas Gewinn 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.43 · Über 2.5 82% · Current selection Über