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BRA 巴西丙級聯賽 · 比賽 ·

馬林加 vs 亞馬孫州

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score3–14.43 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝61%
20%
客勝19%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 61% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝61% selection probability
Projected score3–1馬林加亞馬孫州
Expected goals4.43初盤 match profile
Goals 2.582% for the selected side
雙方進球71% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2大 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
61% / 20% / 19%比賽結果主勝61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 亞馬孫州 win (19%)雙重機會1X81%1.23
大 82% · 小 18%Goals 2.582%1.22
是 71% · 否 29%雙方進球71%1.41
4.43 total expected goals正確比分3–1
10.2 expected match corners角球大 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

否 snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probability公平賠率
馬林加 win61%1.64
20%5.00
亞馬孫州 win19%5.26

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

馬林加3.09

主隊 share of expected goals 69.8%

Total expected goals4.43初盤

Dedicated goals model: 82% · 18%

亞馬孫州1.34

客隊 share of expected goals 30.2%

Projected score3–1BTTS split 71% · 29%Match profile初盤
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

馬林加

1.80pts / match
5Wins2Drawn3Losses0積分9

Signal主隊 unbeaten 5/5

客隊-context · form sequence

亞馬孫州

0.80pts / match
5Wins1Drawn1Losses3積分4

Signal主隊 clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
61%
贏 probability excluding draw
19%
9
Points from supplied form
4
3.09
Expected goals
1.34
馬林加亞馬孫州
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01馬林加 signal主隊 unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02亞馬孫州 signal主隊 clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

馬林加 vs 亞馬孫州 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 3–1 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

馬林加 61%, 20%,亞馬孫州 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.43 · 大2.5 82% · Current selection