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BRA Brazil Serie C · Матч ·

Маринга vs Амазонас

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score3–14.34 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев56%
Ничья25%
Победа гостей20%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев56% selection probability
Projected score3–1МарингаАмазонас
Expected goals4.34Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше81% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа70% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
56% / 25% / 20%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Амазонас win (20%)Двойной шанс1X80%1.25
Больше 81% · Меньше 19%Goals 2.5Больше81%1.23
Да 70% · Нет 30%Обе забьютДа70%1.43
4.34 total expected goalsТочный счёт3–1
10.2 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.3%Largest probability gapМаринга winDifference+2.0 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Маринга win56%1.791.6554%+2.0 pp
Ничья25%4.003.5025.4%-0.4 pp
Амазонас win20%5.004.3320.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Маринга3.03

Хозяева share of expected goals 69.8%

Total expected goals4.34Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 81% · Меньше 19%

Амазонас1.31

Гости share of expected goals 30.2%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitДа 70% · Нет 30%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Маринга

1.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Баллы9

SignalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Амазонас

0.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Баллы4

SignalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
20%
9
Points from supplied form
4
3.03
Expected goals
1.31
МарингаАмазонас
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Маринга signalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Амазонас signalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Маринга vs Амазонас FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 3–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Маринга выигрыш 56%,Ничья 25%,Амазонас выигрыш 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.34 · ТБ 2.5 81% · Current selection Больше