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BRA Brazil Serie C · Partita ·

Maringa vs Amazonas

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score3–14.43 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa61%
Pareggio20%
Vittoria ospite19%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 61% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa61% selection probability
Projected score3–1MaringaAmazonas
Expected goals4.43Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra82% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano71% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
61% / 20% / 19%Esito partitaVittoria casa61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Amazonas win (19%)Doppia Chance1X81%1.23
Sopra 82% · Sotto 18%Goals 2.5Sopra82%1.22
Sì 71% · No 29%Entrambe le squadre segnano71%1.41
4.43 total expected goalsRisultato esatto3–1
10.2 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Maringa win61%1.64
Pareggio20%5.00
Amazonas win19%5.26

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Maringa3.09

Casa share of expected goals 69.8%

Total expected goals4.43Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 82% · Sotto 18%

Amazonas1.34

Trasferta share of expected goals 30.2%

Projected score3–1BTTS split 71% · No 29%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Maringa

1.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Punti9

SignalCasa unbeaten 5/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Amazonas

0.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punti4

SignalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
61%
Vinta probability excluding draw
19%
9
Points from supplied form
4
3.09
Expected goals
1.34
MaringaAmazonas
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Maringa signalCasa unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Amazonas signalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Maringa vs Amazonas FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 3–1 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Maringa vinta 61%,Pareggio 20%,Amazonas vinta 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.43 · Sopra 2.5 82% · Current selection Sopra