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BRA ブラジル セリエC · 試合 ·

イタバイアーナ vs カシアス

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–11.28 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利36%
引き分け32%
アウェイ勝利33%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利36% selection probability
Projected score1–1イタバイアーナカシアス
Expected goals1.28Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー86% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ78% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
36% / 32% / 33%試合結果ホーム勝利36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (31.9%)ダブルチャンス1268.1%1.47
オーバー 14% · アンダー 86%Goals 2.5アンダー86%1.16
はい 22% · いいえ 78%両チーム得点いいえ78%1.28
1.28 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
10.3 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.9 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
イタバイアーナ win36%2.782.5035.8%+0.2 pp
引き分け32%3.132.8831.1%+0.9 pp
カシアス win33%3.032.7033.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

イタバイアーナ0.70

ホーム share of expected goals 54.7%

Total expected goals1.28Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 14% · アンダー 86%

カシアス0.58

アウェイ share of expected goals 45.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 22% · いいえ 78%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

イタバイアーナ

2.00pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn1Losses1ポイント10

Signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

カシアス

1.20pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn3Losses1ポイント6

Signalホーム matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
勝ち probability excluding draw
33%
10
Points from supplied form
6
0.70
Expected goals
0.58
イタバイアーナカシアス
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01イタバイアーナ signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02カシアス signalホーム matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

イタバイアーナ vs カシアス FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

イタバイアーナ 勝ち 36%,引き分け 32%,カシアス 勝ち 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.28 · オーバー 2.5 14% · Current selection アンダー