Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
36% / 32% / 33%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (31.9%)Dubbele Kans1268.1%1.47
Boven 14% · Onder 86%Goals 2.5Onder86%1.16
Ja 22% · Nee 78%Beide teams scorenNee78%1.28
1.28 total expected goalsExacte score1–1——
10.3 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Itabaiana win36%2.782.5035.8%+0.2 pp
Gelijkspel32%3.132.8831.1%+0.9 pp
Caxias win33%3.032.7033.1%-0.1 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Thuis share of expected goals 54.7%
Total expected goals1.28Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Boven 14% · Onder 86%
Uit share of expected goals 45.3%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 22% · Nee 78%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Thuis-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchItabaiana
DWWWL
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punten10
SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5
Uit-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchCaxias
LDWDD
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punten6
SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 5/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
36%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
33%10
Points from supplied form
60.70
Expected goals
0.58ItabaianaCaxias
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 32%.
Match questions
Itabaiana vs Caxias FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Itabaiana gewonnen 36%，Gelijkspel 32%，Caxias gewonnen 33%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 1.28 · Boven 2.5 14% · Current selection Onder。