MatchFormula Găsește un meci
Menu
UTC+8
Fus orarAsia/Shanghai
Română
DEU Germania - Bundesliga I · Meci ·

SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–12.74 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde49%
Egal27%
Victorie oaspeți24%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde49% selection probability
Projected score2–1SC FreiburgWerder Bremen
Expected goals2.74Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Peste51% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
49% / 27% / 24%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Werder Bremen win (24%)Șansă dublă1X76%1.32
Peste 51% · Sub 49%Goals 2.5Peste51%1.96
Da 52% · Nu 48%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa52%1.92
2.74 total expected goalsScor corect2–1
9.2 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.5%Largest probability gapSC Freiburg winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
SC Freiburg win49%2.041.9548.6%+0.4 pp
Egal27%3.703.5027.1%-0.1 pp
Werder Bremen win24%4.173.9024.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

SC Freiburg1.76

Gazde share of expected goals 64.2%

Total expected goals2.74Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 51% · Sub 49%

Werder Bremen0.98

Oaspeți share of expected goals 35.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 52% · Nu 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

SC Freiburg

1.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puncte7

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Werder Bremen

0.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puncte4

SignalOaspeți matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Câștig probability excluding draw
24%
7
Points from supplied form
4
1.76
Expected goals
0.98
SC FreiburgWerder Bremen
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01SC Freiburg signalGazde matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Werder Bremen signalOaspeți matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

SC Freiburg câștig 49%,Egal 27%,Werder Bremen câștig 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.74 · Peste 2.5 51% · Current selection Peste