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DEU Nemecko - Bundesliga I · Zápas ·

SC Freiburg vs Werder Brémy

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score2–12.74 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich49%
Remíza27%
Výhra hostí24%
Full model forecastVýhra domácichTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich49% selection probability
Projected score2–1SC FreiburgWerder Brémy
Expected goals2.74Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Viac51% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúÁno52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Menej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
49% / 27% / 24%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Werder Brémy win (24%)Dvojitá šanca1X76%1.32
Viac 51% · Menej 49%Goals 2.5Viac51%1.96
Áno 52% · Nie 48%Oba tímy skórujúÁno52%1.92
2.74 total expected goalsPresné skóre2–1
9.2 expected match cornersRohyMenej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.5%Largest probability gapSC Freiburg winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
SC Freiburg win49%2.041.9548.6%+0.4 pp
Remíza27%3.703.5027.1%-0.1 pp
Werder Brémy win24%4.173.9024.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

SC Freiburg1.76

Domáci share of expected goals 64.2%

Total expected goals2.74Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Viac 51% · Menej 49%

Werder Brémy0.98

Hostia share of expected goals 35.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitÁno 52% · Nie 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

SC Freiburg

1.40pts / match
Odohrané5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Body7

SignalDomáci matches over 2.5: 4/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Werder Brémy

0.80pts / match
Odohrané5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Body4

SignalHostia matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Výhra probability excluding draw
24%
7
Points from supplied form
4
1.76
Expected goals
0.98
SC FreiburgWerder Brémy
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01SC Freiburg signalDomáci matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Werder Brémy signalHostia matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

SC Freiburg vs Werder Brémy FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

SC Freiburg výhra 49%,Remíza 27%,Werder Brémy výhra 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.74 · Viac 2.5 51% · Current selection Viac