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DEU Niemcy - Bundesliga I · Mecz ·

SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–12.74 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy49%
Remis27%
Wygrana gości24%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy49% selection probability
Projected score2–1SC FreiburgWerder Bremen
Expected goals2.74Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej51% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
49% / 27% / 24%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Werder Bremen win (24%)Podwójna szansa1X76%1.32
Powyżej 51% · Poniżej 49%Goals 2.5Powyżej51%1.96
Tak 52% · Nie 48%Obie drużyny strzeląTak52%1.92
2.74 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1
9.2 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.5%Largest probability gapSC Freiburg winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
SC Freiburg win49%2.041.9548.6%+0.4 pp
Remis27%3.703.5027.1%-0.1 pp
Werder Bremen win24%4.173.9024.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

SC Freiburg1.76

Gospodarze share of expected goals 64.2%

Total expected goals2.74Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 51% · Poniżej 49%

Werder Bremen0.98

Goście share of expected goals 35.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 52% · Nie 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

SC Freiburg

1.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkty7

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Werder Bremen

0.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkty4

SignalGoście matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
24%
7
Points from supplied form
4
1.76
Expected goals
0.98
SC FreiburgWerder Bremen
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01SC Freiburg signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Werder Bremen signalGoście matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

SC Freiburg wygrana 49%,Remis 27%,Werder Bremen wygrana 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.74 · Powyżej 2.5 51% · Current selection Powyżej