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DEU Saksamaa Bundesliga I · Mäng ·

SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Kodu form
Projected score2–12.74 expected goals
Võõras form
Koduvõit49%
Viik27%
Võõrsilvõit24%
Full model forecastKoduvõitTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callKoduvõit49% selection probability
Projected score2–1SC FreiburgWerder Bremen
Expected goals2.74Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Üle51% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Alla 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
49% / 27% / 24%Mängu tulemusKoduvõit49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Werder Bremen win (24%)Topeltvõimalus1X76%1.32
Üle 51% · Alla 49%Goals 2.5Üle51%1.96
Jah 52% · Ei 48%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah52%1.92
2.74 total expected goalsTäpne skoor2–1
9.2 expected match cornersNurgalöögidAlla 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.5%Largest probability gapSC Freiburg winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomeEnnustusÕiglane koefitsientReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
SC Freiburg win49%2.041.9548.6%+0.4 pp
Viik27%3.703.5027.1%-0.1 pp
Werder Bremen win24%4.173.9024.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

SC Freiburg1.76

Kodu share of expected goals 64.2%

Total expected goals2.74Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üle 51% · Alla 49%

Werder Bremen0.98

Võõras share of expected goals 35.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJah 52% · Ei 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

SC Freiburg

1.40pts / match
Mängitud5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punktid7

SignalKodu matches over 2.5: 4/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

Werder Bremen

0.80pts / match
Mängitud5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punktid4

SignalVõõras matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Võit probability excluding draw
24%
7
Points from supplied form
4
1.76
Expected goals
0.98
SC FreiburgWerder Bremen
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01SC Freiburg signalKodu matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Werder Bremen signalVõõras matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Koduvõit · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

SC Freiburg võit 49%,Viik 27%,Werder Bremen võit 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.74 · Üle 2.5 51% · Current selection Üle