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DEU Alemania - Bundesliga I · Partido ·

SC Friburgo vs Werder Bremen

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–12.74 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local49%
Empate27%
Victoria visitante24%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local49% selection probability
Projected score2–1SC FriburgoWerder Bremen
Expected goals2.74Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Más de51% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
49% / 27% / 24%Resultado del partidoVictoria local49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Werder Bremen win (24%)Doble Oportunidad1X76%1.32
Más de 51% · Menos de 49%Goals 2.5Más de51%1.96
Sí 52% · No 48%Ambos equipos marcan52%1.92
2.74 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
9.2 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.5%Largest probability gapSC Friburgo winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
SC Friburgo win49%2.041.9548.6%+0.4 pp
Empate27%3.703.5027.1%-0.1 pp
Werder Bremen win24%4.173.9024.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

SC Friburgo1.76

Local share of expected goals 64.2%

Total expected goals2.74Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 51% · Menos de 49%

Werder Bremen0.98

Visitante share of expected goals 35.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 52% · No 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

SC Friburgo

1.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puntos7

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Werder Bremen

0.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puntos4

SignalVisitante matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Ganado probability excluding draw
24%
7
Points from supplied form
4
1.76
Expected goals
0.98
SC FriburgoWerder Bremen
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01SC Friburgo signalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Werder Bremen signalVisitante matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

SC Friburgo vs Werder Bremen FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

SC Friburgo ganada 49%,Empate 27%,Werder Bremen ganada 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.74 · Más de 2.5 51% · Current selection Más de