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DEU Alemania - Bundesliga I · Partido ·

Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburgo

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–12.88 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local72%
Empate16%
Victoria visitante12%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 72% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local72% selection probability
Projected score2–1Borussia DortmundHamburgo
Expected goals2.88Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Más de55% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
72% / 16% / 12%Resultado del partidoVictoria local72%1.39
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Hamburgo win (11.6%)Doble Oportunidad1X88.4%1.13
Más de 55% · Menos de 45%Goals 2.5Más de55%1.82
Sí 45% · No 55%Ambos equipos marcanNo55%1.82
2.88 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
9.7 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.8%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Borussia Dortmund win72%1.391.3072%0.0 pp
Empate16%6.255.7516.3%-0.3 pp
Hamburgo win12%8.338.0011.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Borussia Dortmund2.19

Local share of expected goals 76%

Total expected goals2.88Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 55% · Menos de 45%

Hamburgo0.69

Visitante share of expected goals 24%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 45% · No 55%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Borussia Dortmund

2.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Puntos12

SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Hamburgo

2.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puntos10

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
72%
Ganado probability excluding draw
12%
12
Points from supplied form
10
2.19
Expected goals
0.69
Borussia DortmundHamburgo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Borussia Dortmund signalLocal unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Hamburgo signalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk28% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburgo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 72% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Borussia Dortmund ganada 72%,Empate 16%,Hamburgo ganada 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.88 · Más de 2.5 55% · Current selection Más de