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DEU Tyskland - Bundesliga · Kamp ·

Borussia Dortmund vs Hamborg

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–12.88 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr72%
Uafgjort16%
Udesejr12%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 72% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr72% selection probability
Projected score2–1Borussia DortmundHamborg
Expected goals2.88Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over55% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerNej55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
72% / 16% / 12%KampresultatHjemmesejr72%1.39
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Hamborg win (11.6%)Dobbeltchance1X88.4%1.13
Over 55% · Under 45%Goals 2.5Over55%1.82
Ja 45% · Nej 55%Begge hold scorerNej55%1.82
2.88 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.7 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.8%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Borussia Dortmund win72%1.391.3072%0.0 pp
Uafgjort16%6.255.7516.3%-0.3 pp
Hamborg win12%8.338.0011.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Borussia Dortmund2.19

Hjemme share of expected goals 76%

Total expected goals2.88Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 55% · Under 45%

Hamborg0.69

Ude share of expected goals 24%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 45% · Nej 55%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Borussia Dortmund

2.40pts / match
Spillet5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Point12

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Hamborg

2.00pts / match
Spillet5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Point10

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
72%
Vundet probability excluding draw
12%
12
Points from supplied form
10
2.19
Expected goals
0.69
Borussia DortmundHamborg
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Borussia Dortmund signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Hamborg signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk28% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

Borussia Dortmund vs Hamborg FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 2–1 · 72% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Borussia Dortmund vundet 72%,Uafgjort 16%,Hamborg vundet 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.88 · Over 2.5 55% · Current selection Over