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DEU Германия - Бундеслига I · Матч ·

Боруссия Дортмунд vs Гамбург

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–12.88 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев72%
Ничья16%
Победа гостей12%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 72% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев72% selection probability
Projected score2–1Боруссия ДортмундГамбург
Expected goals2.88Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Больше55% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
72% / 16% / 12%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев72%1.39
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Гамбург win (11.6%)Двойной шанс1X88.4%1.13
Больше 55% · Меньше 45%Goals 2.5Больше55%1.82
Да 45% · Нет 55%Обе забьютНет55%1.82
2.88 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
9.7 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.8%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Боруссия Дортмунд win72%1.391.3072%0.0 pp
Ничья16%6.255.7516.3%-0.3 pp
Гамбург win12%8.338.0011.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Боруссия Дортмунд2.19

Хозяева share of expected goals 76%

Total expected goals2.88Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 55% · Меньше 45%

Гамбург0.69

Гости share of expected goals 24%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 45% · Нет 55%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Боруссия Дортмунд

2.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Баллы12

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Гамбург

2.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Баллы10

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
72%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
12%
12
Points from supplied form
10
2.19
Expected goals
0.69
Боруссия ДортмундГамбург
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Боруссия Дортмунд signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Гамбург signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk28% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

Боруссия Дортмунд vs Гамбург FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 72% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Боруссия Дортмунд выигрыш 72%,Ничья 16%,Гамбург выигрыш 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.88 · ТБ 2.5 55% · Current selection Больше