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DEU Germania - Bundesliga I · Partita ·

Borussia Dortmund vs Amburgo

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–12.88 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa72%
Pareggio16%
Vittoria ospite12%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 72% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa72% selection probability
Projected score2–1Borussia DortmundAmburgo
Expected goals2.88Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra55% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
72% / 16% / 12%Esito partitaVittoria casa72%1.39
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Amburgo win (11.6%)Doppia Chance1X88.4%1.13
Sopra 55% · Sotto 45%Goals 2.5Sopra55%1.82
Sì 45% · No 55%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo55%1.82
2.88 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
9.7 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.8%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Borussia Dortmund win72%1.391.3072%0.0 pp
Pareggio16%6.255.7516.3%-0.3 pp
Amburgo win12%8.338.0011.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Borussia Dortmund2.19

Casa share of expected goals 76%

Total expected goals2.88Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 55% · Sotto 45%

Amburgo0.69

Trasferta share of expected goals 24%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 45% · No 55%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Borussia Dortmund

2.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punti12

SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Amburgo

2.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punti10

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
72%
Vinta probability excluding draw
12%
12
Points from supplied form
10
2.19
Expected goals
0.69
Borussia DortmundAmburgo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Borussia Dortmund signalCasa unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Amburgo signalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk28% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

Borussia Dortmund vs Amburgo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 72% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Borussia Dortmund vinta 72%,Pareggio 16%,Amburgo vinta 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.88 · Sopra 2.5 55% · Current selection Sopra