Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
49% / 27% / 24%Match resultHome win49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Werder Bremen win (24%)Double chance1X76%1.32
Over 51% · Under 49%Goals 2.5Over51%1.96
Yes 52% · No 48%Both teams scoreYes52%1.92
2.74 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
9.2 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin5.5%Largest probability gapSC Freiburg winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
SC Freiburg win49%2.041.9548.6%+0.4 pp
Draw27%3.703.5027.1%-0.1 pp
Werder Bremen win24%4.173.9024.3%-0.3 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 64.2%
Total expected goals2.74Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 51% · Under 49%
Away share of expected goals 35.8%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 52% · No 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchSC Freiburg
WWLDL
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchWerder Bremen
WLLLD
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4
SignalAway matches under 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
49%
Win probability excluding draw
24%7
Points from supplied form
41.76
Expected goals
0.98SC FreiburgWerder Bremen
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.
Match questions
SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
SC Freiburg win 49%，Draw 27%，Werder Bremen win 24%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.74 · Over 2.5 51% · Current selection Over。