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DEU Германия - Бундеслига I · Мач ·

Фрайбург vs Вердер Бремен

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–12.74 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина49%
Равен27%
Победа за госта24%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина49% selection probability
Projected score2–1ФрайбургВердер Бремен
Expected goals2.74Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Над51% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
49% / 27% / 24%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Вердер Бремен win (24%)Двоен шанс1X76%1.32
Над 51% · Под 49%Goals 2.5Над51%1.96
Да 52% · Не 48%И двата отбора да отбележатДа52%1.92
2.74 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
9.2 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.5%Largest probability gapФрайбург winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Фрайбург win49%2.041.9548.6%+0.4 pp
Равен27%3.703.5027.1%-0.1 pp
Вердер Бремен win24%4.173.9024.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Фрайбург1.76

Домакин share of expected goals 64.2%

Total expected goals2.74Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 51% · Под 49%

Вердер Бремен0.98

Гост share of expected goals 35.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 52% · Не 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Фрайбург

1.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Точки7

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Вердер Бремен

0.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Точки4

SignalГост matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
24%
7
Points from supplied form
4
1.76
Expected goals
0.98
ФрайбургВердер Бремен
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Фрайбург signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Вердер Бремен signalГост matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Фрайбург vs Вердер Бремен FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Фрайбург печеливш 49%,Равен 27%,Вердер Бремен печеливш 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.74 · Над 2.5 51% · Current selection Над