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ITA Itália - Serie A · Partida ·

Atalanta vs Bolonha

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–12.35 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa43%
Empate30%
Vitória visitante27%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa43% selection probability
Projected score1–1AtalantaBolonha
Expected goals2.35Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo58% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão54% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
43% / 30% / 27%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Bolonha win (27%)Dupla Chance1X73%1.37
Acima 42% · Abaixo 58%Goals 2.5Abaixo58%1.72
Sim 46% · Não 54%Ambas as equipes marcamNão54%1.85
2.35 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
8.9 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Não snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityOdds justas
Atalanta win43%2.33
Empate30%3.33
Bolonha win27%3.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Atalanta1.42

Mandante share of expected goals 60.4%

Total expected goals2.35Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Acima 42% · Abaixo 58%

Bolonha0.93

Visitante share of expected goals 39.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 46% · Não 54%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Atalanta

1.60pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Pontos8

SignalMandante unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Bolonha

1.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Pontos5

SignalMandante failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
27%
8
Points from supplied form
5
1.42
Expected goals
0.93
AtalantaBolonha
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Atalanta signalMandante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Bolonha signalMandante failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Atalanta vs Bolonha FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Atalanta ganhou 43%,Empate 30%,Bolonha ganhou 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.35 · Acima 2.5 42% · Current selection Abaixo