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ITA Italia - Serie A · Partido ·

Atalanta vs Bolonia

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–12.35 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local43%
Empate30%
Victoria visitante27%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local43% selection probability
Projected score1–1AtalantaBolonia
Expected goals2.35Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de58% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo54% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
43% / 30% / 27%Resultado del partidoVictoria local43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Bolonia win (27%)Doble Oportunidad1X73%1.37
Más de 42% · Menos de 58%Goals 2.5Menos de58%1.72
Sí 46% · No 54%Ambos equipos marcanNo54%1.85
2.35 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
8.9 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCuotas justas
Atalanta win43%2.33
Empate30%3.33
Bolonia win27%3.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Atalanta1.42

Local share of expected goals 60.4%

Total expected goals2.35Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 42% · Menos de 58%

Bolonia0.93

Visitante share of expected goals 39.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 46% · No 54%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Atalanta

1.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puntos8

SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Bolonia

1.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puntos5

SignalLocal failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Ganado probability excluding draw
27%
8
Points from supplied form
5
1.42
Expected goals
0.93
AtalantaBolonia
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Atalanta signalLocal unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Bolonia signalLocal failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Atalanta vs Bolonia FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Atalanta ganada 43%,Empate 30%,Bolonia ganada 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.35 · Más de 2.5 42% · Current selection Menos de