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ITA Italia - Serie A · Partido ·

Cagliari vs Inter de Milán

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–23.39 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local12%
Empate22%
Victoria visitante66%
Full model forecastVictoria visitanteTier A · 66% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria visitante66% selection probability
Projected score1–2CagliariInter de Milán
Expected goals3.39Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Más de66% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan55% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
12% / 22% / 66%Resultado del partidoVictoria visitante66%1.52
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Cagliari win (11.8%)Doble OportunidadX288.2%1.13
Más de 66% · Menos de 34%Goals 2.5Más de66%1.52
Sí 55% · No 45%Ambos equipos marcan55%1.82
3.39 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–2
8.9 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.8%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cagliari win12%8.338.0011.8%+0.2 pp
Empate22%4.554.2022.5%-0.5 pp
Inter de Milán win66%1.521.4465.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cagliari0.91

Local share of expected goals 26.8%

Total expected goals3.39Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Más de 66% · Menos de 34%

Inter de Milán2.48

Visitante share of expected goals 73.2%

Projected score1–2BTTS split 55% · No 45%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Cagliari

2.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Puntos13

SignalLocal unbeaten 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Inter de Milán

2.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Puntos11

SignalLocal clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
12%
Ganado probability excluding draw
66%
13
Points from supplied form
11
0.91
Expected goals
2.48
CagliariInter de Milán
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cagliari signalLocal unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Inter de Milán signalLocal clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk34% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Cagliari vs Inter de Milán FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria visitante · Projected score 1–2 · 66% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cagliari ganada 12%,Empate 22%,Inter de Milán ganada 66%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.39 · Más de 2.5 66% · Current selection Más de