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ITA Italien - Serie A · Spiel ·

Cagliari vs Inter Mailand

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–23.39 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg12%
Unentschieden22%
Auswärtssieg66%
Full model forecastAuswärtssiegTier A · 66% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAuswärtssieg66% selection probability
Projected score1–2CagliariInter Mailand
Expected goals3.39Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über66% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa55% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
12% / 22% / 66%SpielergebnisAuswärtssieg66%1.52
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Cagliari win (11.8%)Doppelte ChanceX288.2%1.13
Über 66% · Unter 34%Goals 2.5Über66%1.52
Ja 55% · Nein 45%Beide Teams treffenJa55%1.82
3.39 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–2
8.9 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.8%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cagliari win12%8.338.0011.8%+0.2 pp
Unentschieden22%4.554.2022.5%-0.5 pp
Inter Mailand win66%1.521.4465.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cagliari0.91

Heim share of expected goals 26.8%

Total expected goals3.39Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 66% · Unter 34%

Inter Mailand2.48

Auswärts share of expected goals 73.2%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 55% · Nein 45%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Cagliari

2.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punkte13

SignalHeim unbeaten 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Inter Mailand

2.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punkte11

SignalHeim clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
12%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
66%
13
Points from supplied form
11
0.91
Expected goals
2.48
CagliariInter Mailand
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cagliari signalHeim unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Inter Mailand signalHeim clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk34% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Cagliari vs Inter Mailand FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Auswärtssieg · Projected score 1–2 · 66% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cagliari Gewinn 12%,Unentschieden 22%,Inter Mailand Gewinn 66%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.39 · Über 2.5 66% · Current selection Über