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ITA Italien - Serie A · Spiel ·

AC Florenz vs Frosinone

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–12.49 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg57%
Unentschieden23%
Auswärtssieg20%
Market-based forecastHeimsiegTier B · 57% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg57% selection probability
Projected score2–1AC FlorenzFrosinone
Expected goals2.49Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Unter54% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
57% / 23% / 20%SpielergebnisHeimsieg57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Frosinone win (20.1%)Doppelte Chance1X79.9%1.25
Über 46% · Unter 54%Goals 2.5Unter54%1.85
Ja 48% · Nein 52%Beide Teams treffenNein52%1.92
2.49 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
8.9 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin5.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKeine
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
AC Florenz win57%1.751.6258.5%
Unentschieden23%4.354.2022.6%
Frosinone win20%5.005.0019%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AC Florenz1.56

Heim share of expected goals 62.7%

Total expected goals2.49Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 46% · Unter 54%

Frosinone0.93

Auswärts share of expected goals 37.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 48% · Nein 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

AC Florenz

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Frosinone

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalAuswärts matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
20%
7
Points from supplied form
7
1.56
Expected goals
0.93
AC FlorenzFrosinone
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AC Florenz signalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Frosinone signalAuswärts matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

AC Florenz vs Frosinone FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AC Florenz Gewinn 57%,Unentschieden 23%,Frosinone Gewinn 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.49 · Über 2.5 46% · Current selection Unter