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ITA Italie - Série A · Match ·

Fiorentina vs Frosinone

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–12.49 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile57%
Nul23%
Victoire à l’extérieur20%
Market-based forecastVictoire à domicileTier B · 57% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile57% selection probability
Projected score2–1FiorentinaFrosinone
Expected goals2.49Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de54% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
57% / 23% / 20%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Frosinone win (20.1%)Double chance1X79.9%1.25
Plus de 46% · Moins de 54%Goals 2.5Moins de54%1.85
Oui 48% · Non 52%Les deux équipes marquentNon52%1.92
2.49 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
8.9 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin5.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimAucun
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Fiorentina win57%1.751.6258.5%
Nul23%4.354.2022.6%
Frosinone win20%5.005.0019%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Fiorentina1.56

Domicile share of expected goals 62.7%

Total expected goals2.49Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 46% · Moins de 54%

Frosinone0.93

Extérieur share of expected goals 37.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 48% · Non 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Fiorentina

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Frosinone

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalExtérieur matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Gagné probability excluding draw
20%
7
Points from supplied form
7
1.56
Expected goals
0.93
FiorentinaFrosinone
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Fiorentina signalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Frosinone signalExtérieur matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Fiorentina vs Frosinone FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Fiorentina victoire 57%,Nul 23%,Frosinone victoire 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.49 · Plus de 2.5 46% · Current selection Moins de