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ITA Italie - Série A · Match ·

Naples vs Como

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–12.28 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile38%
Nul30%
Victoire à l’extérieur32%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile38% selection probability
Projected score1–1NaplesComo
Expected goals2.28Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de60% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon54% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
38% / 30% / 32%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.7%)Double chance1270.3%1.42
Plus de 40% · Moins de 60%Goals 2.5Moins de60%1.67
Oui 46% · Non 54%Les deux équipes marquentNon54%1.85
2.28 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
8.3 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.4%Largest probability gapNaples winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Naples win38%2.632.4538.7%-0.7 pp
Nul30%3.333.2029.6%+0.4 pp
Como win32%3.133.0031.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Naples1.04

Domicile share of expected goals 45.6%

Total expected goals2.28Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 40% · Moins de 60%

Como1.24

Extérieur share of expected goals 54.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 46% · Non 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Naples

2.00pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Como

2.20pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalDomicile clean sheets: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Gagné probability excluding draw
32%
10
Points from supplied form
11
1.04
Expected goals
1.24
NaplesComo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Naples signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Como signalDomicile clean sheets: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Naples vs Como FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Naples victoire 38%,Nul 30%,Como victoire 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.28 · Plus de 2.5 40% · Current selection Moins de