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ITA 意大利甲級聯賽 · 比賽 ·

拿玻李 vs 科摩

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score1–12.28 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝38%
30%
客勝32%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝38% selection probability
Projected score1–1拿玻李科摩
Expected goals2.28Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.560% for the selected side
雙方進球54% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
38% / 30% / 32%比賽結果主勝38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.7%)雙重機會1270.3%1.42
大 40% · 小 60%Goals 2.560%1.67
是 46% · 否 54%雙方進球54%1.85
2.28 total expected goals正確比分1–1
8.3 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.4%Largest probability gap拿玻李 winDifference-0.7 pp
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
拿玻李 win38%2.632.4538.7%-0.7 pp
30%3.333.2029.6%+0.4 pp
科摩 win32%3.133.0031.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

拿玻李1.04

主隊 share of expected goals 45.6%

Total expected goals2.28Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: 40% · 60%

科摩1.24

客隊 share of expected goals 54.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 46% · 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

拿玻李

2.00pts / match
5Wins3Drawn1Losses1積分10

Signal主隊 unbeaten 4/5

客隊-context · form sequence

科摩

2.20pts / match
5Wins3Drawn2Losses0積分11

Signal主隊 clean sheets: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
贏 probability excluding draw
32%
10
Points from supplied form
11
1.04
Expected goals
1.24
拿玻李科摩
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01拿玻李 signal主隊 unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02科摩 signal主隊 clean sheets: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

拿玻李 vs 科摩 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

拿玻李 38%, 30%,科摩 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.28 · 大2.5 40% · Current selection