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ITA 意大利甲級聯賽 · 比賽 ·

拉素 vs 熱拿亞

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score1–12.07 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝47%
30%
客勝23%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝47% selection probability
Projected score1–1拉素熱拿亞
Expected goals2.07Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.566% for the selected side
雙方進球59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
47% / 30% / 23%比賽結果主勝47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 熱拿亞 win (22.9%)雙重機會1X77.1%1.30
大 34% · 小 66%Goals 2.566%1.52
是 41% · 否 59%雙方進球59%1.69
2.07 total expected goals正確比分1–1
8.4 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.1%Largest probability gap拉素 winDifference-0.6 pp
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
拉素 win47%2.132.0047.6%-0.6 pp
30%3.333.2029.7%+0.3 pp
熱拿亞 win23%4.354.2022.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

拉素1.22

主隊 share of expected goals 58.9%

Total expected goals2.07Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: 34% · 66%

熱拿亞0.85

客隊 share of expected goals 41.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 41% · 59%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

拉素

3.00pts / match
5Wins5Drawn0Losses0積分15

Signal主隊 unbeaten 5/5

客隊-context · form sequence

熱拿亞

1.40pts / match
5Wins2Drawn1Losses2積分7

Signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
贏 probability excluding draw
23%
15
Points from supplied form
7
1.22
Expected goals
0.85
拉素熱拿亞
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01拉素 signal主隊 unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02熱拿亞 signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

拉素 vs 熱拿亞 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 1–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

拉素 47%, 30%,熱拿亞 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.07 · 大2.5 34% · Current selection