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ITA Италия - Серия A · Мач ·

Лацио vs Дженоа

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–12.07 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина47%
Равен30%
Победа за госта23%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина47% selection probability
Projected score1–1ЛациоДженоа
Expected goals2.07Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Под66% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
47% / 30% / 23%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Дженоа win (22.9%)Двоен шанс1X77.1%1.30
Над 34% · Под 66%Goals 2.5Под66%1.52
Да 41% · Не 59%И двата отбора да отбележатНе59%1.69
2.07 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
8.4 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.1%Largest probability gapЛацио winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Лацио win47%2.132.0047.6%-0.6 pp
Равен30%3.333.2029.7%+0.3 pp
Дженоа win23%4.354.2022.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Лацио1.22

Домакин share of expected goals 58.9%

Total expected goals2.07Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Над 34% · Под 66%

Дженоа0.85

Гост share of expected goals 41.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 41% · Не 59%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Лацио

3.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Точки15

SignalДомакин unbeaten 5/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Дженоа

1.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Точки7

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
23%
15
Points from supplied form
7
1.22
Expected goals
0.85
ЛациоДженоа
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Лацио signalДомакин unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Дженоа signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Лацио vs Дженоа FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 1–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Лацио печеливш 47%,Равен 30%,Дженоа печеливш 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.07 · Над 2.5 34% · Current selection Под