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ラツィオ vs ジェノア

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–12.07 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利47%
引き分け30%
アウェイ勝利23%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利47% selection probability
Projected score1–1ラツィオジェノア
Expected goals2.07Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー66% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
47% / 30% / 23%試合結果ホーム勝利47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ジェノア win (22.9%)ダブルチャンス1X77.1%1.30
オーバー 34% · アンダー 66%Goals 2.5アンダー66%1.52
はい 41% · いいえ 59%両チーム得点いいえ59%1.69
2.07 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
8.4 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.1%Largest probability gapラツィオ winDifference-0.6 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ラツィオ win47%2.132.0047.6%-0.6 pp
引き分け30%3.333.2029.7%+0.3 pp
ジェノア win23%4.354.2022.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ラツィオ1.22

ホーム share of expected goals 58.9%

Total expected goals2.07Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 34% · アンダー 66%

ジェノア0.85

アウェイ share of expected goals 41.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 41% · いいえ 59%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

ラツィオ

3.00pts / match
試合数5Wins5Drawn0Losses0ポイント15

Signalホーム unbeaten 5/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

ジェノア

1.40pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn1Losses2ポイント7

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
勝ち probability excluding draw
23%
15
Points from supplied form
7
1.22
Expected goals
0.85
ラツィオジェノア
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ラツィオ signalホーム unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ジェノア signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

ラツィオ vs ジェノア FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ラツィオ 勝ち 47%,引き分け 30%,ジェノア 勝ち 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.07 · オーバー 2.5 34% · Current selection アンダー