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ITA Italia - Serie A · Partita ·

Lazio vs Genoa

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–12.07 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa47%
Pareggio30%
Vittoria ospite23%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa47% selection probability
Projected score1–1LazioGenoa
Expected goals2.07Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto66% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
47% / 30% / 23%Esito partitaVittoria casa47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Genoa win (22.9%)Doppia Chance1X77.1%1.30
Sopra 34% · Sotto 66%Goals 2.5Sotto66%1.52
Sì 41% · No 59%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo59%1.69
2.07 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
8.4 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.1%Largest probability gapLazio winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Lazio win47%2.132.0047.6%-0.6 pp
Pareggio30%3.333.2029.7%+0.3 pp
Genoa win23%4.354.2022.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lazio1.22

Casa share of expected goals 58.9%

Total expected goals2.07Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 34% · Sotto 66%

Genoa0.85

Trasferta share of expected goals 41.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 41% · No 59%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Lazio

3.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Punti15

SignalCasa unbeaten 5/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Genoa

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Vinta probability excluding draw
23%
15
Points from supplied form
7
1.22
Expected goals
0.85
LazioGenoa
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lazio signalCasa unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Genoa signalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Lazio vs Genoa FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lazio vinta 47%,Pareggio 30%,Genoa vinta 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.07 · Sopra 2.5 34% · Current selection Sotto