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ITA Italia - Serie A · Partita ·

Cagliari vs Inter

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–23.39 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa12%
Pareggio22%
Vittoria ospite66%
Full model forecastVittoria ospiteTier A · 66% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria ospite66% selection probability
Projected score1–2CagliariInter
Expected goals3.39Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra66% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano55% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
12% / 22% / 66%Esito partitaVittoria ospite66%1.52
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Cagliari win (11.8%)Doppia ChanceX288.2%1.13
Sopra 66% · Sotto 34%Goals 2.5Sopra66%1.52
Sì 55% · No 45%Entrambe le squadre segnano55%1.82
3.39 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–2
8.9 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.8%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cagliari win12%8.338.0011.8%+0.2 pp
Pareggio22%4.554.2022.5%-0.5 pp
Inter win66%1.521.4465.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cagliari0.91

Casa share of expected goals 26.8%

Total expected goals3.39Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 66% · Sotto 34%

Inter2.48

Trasferta share of expected goals 73.2%

Projected score1–2BTTS split 55% · No 45%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Cagliari

2.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punti13

SignalCasa unbeaten 5/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Inter

2.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punti11

SignalCasa clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
12%
Vinta probability excluding draw
66%
13
Points from supplied form
11
0.91
Expected goals
2.48
CagliariInter
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cagliari signalCasa unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Inter signalCasa clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk34% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Cagliari vs Inter FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 1–2 · 66% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cagliari vinta 12%,Pareggio 22%,Inter vinta 66%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.39 · Sopra 2.5 66% · Current selection Sopra