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ITA Italië - Serie A · Wedstrijd ·

Cagliari vs Inter Milan

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–23.39 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst12%
Gelijkspel22%
Uitwinst66%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 66% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst66% selection probability
Projected score1–2CagliariInter Milan
Expected goals3.39Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven66% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa55% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
12% / 22% / 66%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst66%1.52
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Cagliari win (11.8%)Dubbele KansX288.2%1.13
Boven 66% · Onder 34%Goals 2.5Boven66%1.52
Ja 55% · Nee 45%Beide teams scorenJa55%1.82
3.39 total expected goalsExacte score1–2
8.9 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.8%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cagliari win12%8.338.0011.8%+0.2 pp
Gelijkspel22%4.554.2022.5%-0.5 pp
Inter Milan win66%1.521.4465.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cagliari0.91

Thuis share of expected goals 26.8%

Total expected goals3.39Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 66% · Onder 34%

Inter Milan2.48

Uit share of expected goals 73.2%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 55% · Nee 45%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Cagliari

2.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punten13

SignalThuis unbeaten 5/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Inter Milan

2.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punten11

SignalThuis clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
12%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
66%
13
Points from supplied form
11
0.91
Expected goals
2.48
CagliariInter Milan
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cagliari signalThuis unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Inter Milan signalThuis clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk34% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Cagliari vs Inter Milan FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–2 · 66% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cagliari gewonnen 12%,Gelijkspel 22%,Inter Milan gewonnen 66%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.39 · Boven 2.5 66% · Current selection Boven