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ITA Italië - Serie A · Wedstrijd ·

Monza vs Udinese

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–12.42 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst30%
Gelijkspel30%
Uitwinst41%
Market-based forecastUitwinstTier B · 41% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst41% selection probability
Projected score1–1MonzaUdinese
Expected goals2.42Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Onder57% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa50% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
30% / 30% / 41%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.6%)Dubbele Kans1270.4%1.42
Boven 43% · Onder 57%Goals 2.5Onder57%1.75
Ja 50% · Nee 50%Beide teams scorenJa50%2.00
2.42 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
8.9 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin5.0%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Monza win30%3.333.3028.9%
Gelijkspel30%3.333.2029.8%
Udinese win41%2.442.3041.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Monza1.14

Thuis share of expected goals 47.1%

Total expected goals2.42Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 43% · Onder 57%

Udinese1.28

Uit share of expected goals 52.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 50% · Nee 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Monza

0.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Udinese

0.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punten1

SignalUit matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
30%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
41%
4
Points from supplied form
1
1.14
Expected goals
1.28
MonzaUdinese
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Monza signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Udinese signalUit matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Monza vs Udinese FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Monza gewonnen 30%,Gelijkspel 30%,Udinese gewonnen 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.42 · Boven 2.5 43% · Current selection Onder