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ITA Itaalia Serie A · Mäng ·

Lazio vs Genoa

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Kodu form
Projected score1–12.07 expected goals
Võõras form
Koduvõit47%
Viik30%
Võõrsilvõit23%
Full model forecastKoduvõitTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callKoduvõit47% selection probability
Projected score1–1LazioGenoa
Expected goals2.07Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alla66% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Alla 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
47% / 30% / 23%Mängu tulemusKoduvõit47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Genoa win (22.9%)Topeltvõimalus1X77.1%1.30
Üle 34% · Alla 66%Goals 2.5Alla66%1.52
Jah 41% · Ei 59%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi59%1.69
2.07 total expected goalsTäpne skoor1–1
8.4 expected match cornersNurgalöögidAlla 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.1%Largest probability gapLazio winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomeEnnustusÕiglane koefitsientReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Lazio win47%2.132.0047.6%-0.6 pp
Viik30%3.333.2029.7%+0.3 pp
Genoa win23%4.354.2022.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lazio1.22

Kodu share of expected goals 58.9%

Total expected goals2.07Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Üle 34% · Alla 66%

Genoa0.85

Võõras share of expected goals 41.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJah 41% · Ei 59%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

Lazio

3.00pts / match
Mängitud5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Punktid15

SignalKodu unbeaten 5/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

Genoa

1.40pts / match
Mängitud5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punktid7

SignalKodu matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Võit probability excluding draw
23%
15
Points from supplied form
7
1.22
Expected goals
0.85
LazioGenoa
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lazio signalKodu unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Genoa signalKodu matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Lazio vs Genoa FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Koduvõit · Projected score 1–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lazio võit 47%,Viik 30%,Genoa võit 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.07 · Üle 2.5 34% · Current selection Alla